PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Alexmanman

0xc47e5391ad876cab70ec9cda17ed4b14870c6cac

Realised P&L
$-35.75
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$34.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 12:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 24?BUY0.95$5.00
09-23 12:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24?BUY0.3168316832$5.00
09-23 12:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-23 12:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
09-22 23:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?BUY0.3564356379$5.00
09-22 23:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 23?BUY0.382848392$5.00
09-19 12:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?SELL0.998$53.64
09-18 06:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.4594150452$5.00
09-18 06:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.0930189294$5.00
09-18 06:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.9$5.00
08-04 09:44Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5?BUY0.8$5.00
08-04 09:44Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 5?BUY0.9031182187$5.00
08-04 09:43Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
08-04 09:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?BUY0.8699999983$5.00
08-04 09:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.359999977$5.00