smalltest
0xc47473469a3a3bbfcf9842f4a1993b164fd2d697
- Realised P&L
- $280.58
- Volume
- $13.42M
- Markets traded
- 2,664
- Open portfolio
- $42.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,664
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.17at 0.006Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$153.44at 0.133Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$153.07at 0.005Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$141.64at 0.061Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$131.97at 0.864Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 21:12 | Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.059 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 18:00 | Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.36 |
| 06-28 13:10 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.96 |
| 06-28 13:07 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.44 |
| 06-28 12:40 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.18 |
| 06-28 12:37 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.74 |
| 06-26 09:35 | Will Fuse launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.86 |
| 06-25 11:46 | Will KeyBank fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.23 |
| 06-25 10:08 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.63 |
| 06-25 10:08 | Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.85 |
| 06-25 10:04 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.55 |
| 06-25 09:39 | Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.48 | $7.87 |
| 06-25 04:37 | Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.07 |
| 06-24 23:51 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.38 |
| 06-24 23:48 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $2.73 |