PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

smalltest

0xc47473469a3a3bbfcf9842f4a1993b164fd2d697

Realised P&L
$268.51
Volume
$13.42M
Markets traded
2,664
Open portfolio
$40.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,664
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration86.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? · No0.5430.455$3.98$0.77
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.1060.135$3.68+$0.78
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.1100.087$2.71$0.71
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? · Yes0.3400.795$2.38+$1.36
Will Wilyer Abreu win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? · Yes0.0350.049$2.18+$0.61
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.4400.415$2.06$0.12
Will BNY fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0180.029$1.94+$0.69
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.3500.999$1.91+$1.24
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? · Yes0.5380.410$1.87$0.58
Will Fluminense win Brazil Série A? · Yes0.0240.016$1.86$0.87
Will Truist fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0210.032$1.80+$0.60
Will São Paulo win Brazil Série A? · Yes0.0040.007$1.76+$0.82
Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.5100.325$1.63$0.93
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? · No0.7070.520$1.57$0.57
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.5400.979$1.49+$0.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 17:25Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.003$0.03
08-15 06:13Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?SELL0.42$2.10
08-13 17:34Tom Holland as Spider-Man?SELL0.54$4.03
08-13 12:05Will Ceddanne Rafaela win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.1$1.12
08-13 12:01Will Ceddanne Rafaela win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.1$1.23
08-13 05:27Tom Holland as Spider-Man?SELL0.47$3.63
08-07 15:54Tom Holland as Spider-Man?SELL0.49$3.49
08-07 12:41Tom Holland as Spider-Man?SELL0.49$3.49
08-06 07:44Tom Holland as Spider-Man?SELL0.55$3.75
06-30 21:12Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?SELL0.059$1.00
06-30 18:00Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?SELL0.07$0.36
06-28 13:10Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?SELL0.022$0.96
06-28 13:07Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?SELL0.022$0.44
06-28 12:40Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?SELL0.036$0.18
06-28 12:37Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?SELL0.037$0.74