smalltest
0xc47473469a3a3bbfcf9842f4a1993b164fd2d697
- Realised P&L
- $268.51
- Volume
- $13.42M
- Markets traded
- 2,664
- Open portfolio
- $40.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,664
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.17at 0.006Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$141.49at 0.061Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$140.72at 0.005Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$135.53at 0.125Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$100.04at 0.004Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 17:25 | Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 08-15 06:13 | Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 08-13 17:34 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.03 |
| 08-13 12:05 | Will Ceddanne Rafaela win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.12 |
| 08-13 12:01 | Will Ceddanne Rafaela win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.23 |
| 08-13 05:27 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.47 | $3.63 |
| 08-07 15:54 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.49 | $3.49 |
| 08-07 12:41 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.49 | $3.49 |
| 08-06 07:44 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.75 |
| 06-30 21:12 | Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.059 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 18:00 | Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.36 |
| 06-28 13:10 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.96 |
| 06-28 13:07 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.44 |
| 06-28 12:40 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.18 |
| 06-28 12:37 | Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.74 |