LAROW
0xc474391055a051ec38b45508d3d72c787cba6061
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $12.62M
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $731.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $250.00 | −$249.50 |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $135.49 | −$135.22 |
| Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $100.00 | −$99.34 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $75.00 | −$674.99 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $72.09 | −$792.98 |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $65.76 | −$65.63 |
| Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $32.69 | −$294.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$809.21at 0.580Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$513.53at 0.005Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$364.91at 0.005Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$249.99at 0.005Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$150.00at 0.005Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 00:25 | Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $188.15 |
| 08-14 11:15 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $31.81 |
| 08-12 22:29 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.40 |
| 07-31 18:43 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0038950154 | $584.24 |
| 07-24 18:56 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $41.35 |
| 07-14 19:04 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $7.02 |
| 07-11 21:42 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1 | $79.37 |
| 06-20 18:22 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.125999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-20 18:19 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0479999996 | $100.00 |
| 06-06 23:39 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.101 | $104.03 |
| 05-22 19:33 | Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 05-21 08:59 | Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 09:51 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $173.50 |
| 04-25 17:22 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $104.24 |
| 04-24 06:59 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $104.24 |