PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LAROW

0xc474391055a051ec38b45508d3d72c787cba6061

Realised P&L
$-247.29
Volume
$11.46M
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0060.004$504.63$360.45
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.002$225.00$524.99
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.003$163.47$163.47
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.003$117.95$117.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 18:43Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0038950154$584.24
07-24 18:56Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$41.35
07-14 19:04Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.005$7.02
07-11 21:42Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1$79.37
06-20 18:22Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.125999999$100.00
06-20 18:19Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0479999996$100.00
06-06 23:39Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.101$104.03
05-22 19:33Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL0.76$7.60
05-21 08:59Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
04-26 09:51Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$173.50
04-25 17:22Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$104.24
04-24 06:59Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$104.24
04-18 12:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.29$29.00
03-29 17:50Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$296.30
03-28 17:49Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$330.09