PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xxtxxt

0xc46e8b86a72267664556721ecdd6d69139ae921b

Realised P&L
$-257.45
Volume
$6.2k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$34.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14? · No0.9200.915$14.92−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 14? · Yes0.3400.410$6.03+$1.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13? · Yes0.5800.979$5.06+$2.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13? · Yes0.1330.125$3.75−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 14? · Yes0.3600.590$3.28+$1.28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.0880.054$1.24−$0.76
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? · No0.0500.002$0.08−$1.92
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? · Yes0.3580.013$0.07−$1.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.2640.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.3250.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$21.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 09:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?SELL0.935$6.87
10-13 09:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?BUY0.05$2.00
10-13 08:58Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?SELL0.46$3.06
10-13 08:30Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18?BUY0.0879999989$2.00
10-13 08:27Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13?BUY0.1$2.00
10-13 08:07Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14?BUY0.9199999975$15.00
10-13 08:06Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14?SELL0.08$0.89
10-13 06:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?BUY0.3579999474$2.00
10-12 20:11Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-12 20:03Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-12 19:49Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 14?BUY0.339999985$5.00
10-12 19:44Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-12 18:51Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13?BUY0.5799999768$3.00
10-12 18:51Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?BUY0.299999985$2.00
10-12 18:49Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?BUY0.0769999999$1.00