xxtxxt
0xc46e8b86a72267664556721ecdd6d69139ae921b
- Realised P&L
- $-257.45
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $34.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.60at 0.271Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?
- +$26.12at 0.244Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$18.04at 0.259Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$14.05at 0.980Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$10.40at 0.285Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | SELL | 0.935 | $6.87 |
| 10-13 09:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 08:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.06 |
| 10-13 08:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.0879999989 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9199999975 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.89 |
| 10-13 06:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.3579999474 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 20:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 20:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 19:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 19:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 18:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 18:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 18:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0769999999 | $1.00 |