0xC46d4C5abe09aba4a19328a008fa774F7c56A968-1774034194132
0xc46d4c5abe09aba4a19328a008fa774f7c56a968
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $65.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · No | 0.584 | 0.640 | $548.32 | +$48.32 |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) · Titans | 0.490 | 0.495 | $303.06 | +$3.06 |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) · Packers | 0.500 | 0.485 | $291.00 | −$9.00 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.071 | $225.07 | −$274.92 |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) · Chargers | 0.530 | 0.515 | $194.34 | −$5.66 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Commanders | 0.540 | 0.505 | $187.04 | −$12.96 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · No | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.558 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.586US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$5.0kat 0.800US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 18:05 | Spread: Bills (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5299999994 | $200.00 |
| 09-23 18:05 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5399999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-23 18:04 | Spread: Giants (-2.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $300.00 |
| 09-23 18:03 | Spread: Packers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $300.00 |
| 09-03 16:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 09-03 16:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5836037022 | $500.00 |
| 09-03 16:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4026612454 | $500.00 |
| 09-03 16:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2077598088 | $500.00 |
| 08-31 17:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999995 | $200.00 |
| 08-31 17:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.0k |
| 08-26 17:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 17:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999998 | $2.0k |
| 08-24 18:07 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999994 | $200.00 |
| 08-24 18:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.0k |
| 03-25 17:17 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $6.0k |