0xC46aF8Ae974D3c524FC84AcE77b5584f301E72f1-1774358828551
0xc46af8ae974d3c524fc84ace77b5584f301e72f1
- Realised P&L
- $-449.70
- Volume
- $81.5k
- Markets traded
- 436
- Open portfolio
- $390.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded436
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.07at 0.279Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$61.51at 0.145Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$53.51at 0.267Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
- +$40.87at 0.390Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 31 million views on day 4?
- +$31.26at 0.062Will "Tariff" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:36 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 24 and 26 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.994 | $102.00 |
| 09-28 06:23 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $34.00 |
| 09-28 04:20 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.11052805 | $110.53 |
| 09-28 04:18 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 22 and 24 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.879428844 | $93.00 |
| 09-28 04:18 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 22 and 24 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.8691694597 | $18.00 |
| 09-28 04:17 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 22 and 24 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.8465691621 | $19.00 |
| 09-28 04:16 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 22 and 24 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $28.00 |
| 09-28 04:16 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 20 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $180.52 |
| 09-28 04:16 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 30 million or more views on day 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-28 04:15 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 22 and 24 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $49.00 |
| 09-27 14:52 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 20 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $174.00 |
| 09-27 14:38 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 30 million or more views on day 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-27 14:38 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $970.00 |
| 09-27 14:37 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 20 million views on day 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.90 |
| 09-27 11:08 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.00 |