ahorn11
0xc464ec9b00d369648e552d12272cfb96668ceea9
- Realised P&L
- $-148.54
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,757
- Open portfolio
- $81.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,757
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.25at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$4.85at 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$4.63at 0.688Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$4.18at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET
- +$4.13at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:03 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9719999908 | $1.69 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.81 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9879999982 | $4.32 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9839999948 | $1.52 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9839999958 | $1.89 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.48 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Solana dip to $110 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9969996883 | $1.82 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Solana dip to $110 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9969998305 | $5.11 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $6.91 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.46 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Solana reach $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9479998247 | $3.18 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in September? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.09 |
| 09-27 17:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.18 |
| 09-24 18:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.93 | $6.51 |
| 09-24 18:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9829999755 | $6.86 |