PolyBot

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Traders

Ronaldo336699

0xc46239669c272e4203a3db9aeb9548c433d3e696

Realised P&L
$6.1k
Volume
$83.8k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$131.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · Yes0.1260.010$59.59$690.40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · Yes0.1950.024$55.40$394.60
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0700.004$12.86$187.14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2130.160$3.74$1.26
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$49.98
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$106.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$184.85
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$3.29
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$104.94
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$8.63
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$52.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 08:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.1803512511$600.00
09-11 08:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.2323687746$350.00
09-09 15:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.1246961397$100.00
09-09 15:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?BUY0.0569866796$150.00
08-13 09:38Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.0699999997$200.00
08-07 07:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.2799999928$25.00
08-07 07:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.168406871$50.00
08-07 07:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.1199999981$50.00
08-07 07:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?SELL0.5234552743$416.53
08-02 04:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.69$13.80
08-02 04:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?BUY0.3770037751$300.00
08-02 04:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?SELL0.2123036167$18.43
08-02 04:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?SELL0.361117152$48.49
08-02 04:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?SELL0.05$20.00
08-02 04:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?SELL0.07$19.37