qs1234567
0xc46006652b8f464bf0f6f6db5d128e83d2af38a0
- Realised P&L
- $-39.48
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $3.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.030 | $1.82 | −$14.85 |
| Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.018 | $1.04 | −$14.44 |
| Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.004 | $0.27 | −$3.72 |
| Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.003 | $0.17 | −$1.85 |
| Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.002 | $0.09 | −$1.76 |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.87at 0.113Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$-0.77at 0.006Will Jack Grealish join Brighton?
- +$-0.83at 0.011Will Jack Grealish join Napoli?
- +$-1.73at 0.100Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?
- +$-1.76at 0.062Will Jack Grealish join Borussia Dortmund?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 01:51 | Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 06-22 01:51 | Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.0307506543 | $1.85 |
| 06-22 01:50 | Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.0348612961 | $2.02 |
| 06-22 01:50 | Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.0672949895 | $3.99 |
| 06-22 01:50 | Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.2602434685 | $15.48 |
| 06-22 01:49 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | BUY | 0.2799999893 | $16.67 |
| 06-21 20:04 | Will Jack Grealish join Napoli? | SELL | 0.0021565578 | $0.21 |
| 06-21 20:03 | Will Jack Grealish join Nottingham Forest? | SELL | 0.0142696387 | $0.79 |
| 06-21 20:03 | Will Jack Grealish join Brighton? | SELL | 0.0016053269 | $0.27 |
| 06-21 20:03 | Will Jack Grealish join Borussia Dortmund? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.42 |
| 06-21 20:03 | Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City? | SELL | 0.055 | $2.04 |
| 06-21 20:02 | Will Jack Grealish join Everton? | SELL | 0.56 | $31.15 |
| 06-20 22:28 | Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 06-20 22:26 | Will Jack Grealish join Napoli? | BUY | 0.0103673885 | $1.00 |
| 06-20 22:26 | Will Jack Grealish join Brighton? | BUY | 0.0060529269 | $1.00 |