0xc458dc0d00e7aa5969258b10c7ba902d3d4cdca2
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $23.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027? · No | 0.580 | 0.600 | $7.99 | +$0.27 |
| Will TownSquare launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.490 | 0.345 | $6.90 | −$2.90 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.310 | $6.51 | −$3.36 |
| Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.240 | $1.68 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.04at 0.591Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
- +$-3.06at 0.485Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by November 30?
- +$-3.10at 0.320Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?