0xc456e0848b94d44dde29552c0af91d3e6ae8f1cc
0xc456e0848b94d44dde29552c0af91d3e6ae8f1cc
- Realised P&L
- $-0.86
- Volume
- $96.47
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $4.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.925 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.595 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.635 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.68at 0.379Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 2?
- +$1.06at 0.490Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:52 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:32 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:06 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 2? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 15:38 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:59 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:57 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:26 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:26 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:11 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:19 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |