gydmasg
0xc4567fe2a835b23f40db07f567ba0efbbdc98996
- Realised P&L
- $85.4k
- Volume
- $5.01M
- Markets traded
- 1,382
- Open portfolio
- $64.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,382
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.5kat 0.586Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$6.5kat 0.422Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?
- +$5.2kat 0.809Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$5.2kat 0.499Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$4.8kat 0.999Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:01 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $101.41 |
| 09-17 02:44 | Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.445 | $1.2k |
| 09-17 02:40 | Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.86 | $12.82 |
| 09-16 19:45 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.141 | $0.16 |
| 09-16 19:43 | Will Arch Network launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $170.43 |
| 09-16 19:40 | Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.62 |
| 09-16 19:38 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | BUY | 0.95 | $74.04 |
| 09-16 19:35 | Will Hylo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $123.46 |
| 09-16 19:30 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $5.58 |
| 09-16 14:44 | Will Ritual launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.782 | $23.46 |
| 09-16 14:38 | Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9369767442 | $40.29 |
| 09-16 02:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 02:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.10 |
| 09-15 17:06 | Beezie FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $93.15 |
| 09-15 17:05 | Beezie FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.76 | $167.20 |