utrg
0xc4523e3eac71c8feae49730c611a3b1ef7d5e2aa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.29
- Volume
- $55.4k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $34.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? · No | 0.969 | 0.987 | $34.55 | +$0.63 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.28at 0.900Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$1.07at 0.958Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?
- +$1.05at 0.110Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
- +$0.54at 0.981Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 12?
- +$0.53at 0.982Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:46 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.969 | $33.91 |
| 10-04 15:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.987 | $33.56 |
| 10-02 09:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.986 | $32.54 |
| 09-27 01:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.986 | $30.57 |
| 09-23 14:32 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 23? | BUY | 0.981 | $29.43 |
| 09-18 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.982 | $29.46 |
| 09-15 14:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 15? | BUY | 0.983 | $28.51 |
| 09-13 15:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.71 |
| 09-06 03:36 | Will Solana reach $110 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.81 | $27.54 |
| 09-05 12:17 | Will Solana reach $110 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $33.32 |
| 09-05 12:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-01 08:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.985 | $33.49 |
| 08-29 04:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.984 | $32.47 |
| 08-27 14:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.988 | $32.60 |
| 08-22 14:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.44 |