0xC44A5eA766826920Ad0678D53534F68894D60F0E-1779063587890
0xc44a5ea766826920ad0678d53534f68894d60f0e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $353.9k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $134.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.617 | 0.615 | $134.80 | −$0.47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.44 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$332.64at 0.062Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$152.48at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
- +$135.65at 0.556Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?
- +$119.09at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
- +$95.72at 0.347Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:55 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $34.91 |
| 10-05 22:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $38.36 |
| 10-05 22:17 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.165465 | $33.09 |
| 10-05 22:09 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 10-05 21:32 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $96.00 |
| 10-05 13:25 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $60.00 |
| 10-05 10:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.3776987258 | $108.19 |
| 10-05 09:01 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 10-05 08:59 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3987664253 | $74.35 |
| 10-05 08:46 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.4418553333 | $132.56 |
| 10-05 03:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $120.00 |
| 10-05 00:50 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $158.41 |
| 10-05 00:50 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 10-05 00:50 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $43.80 |
| 10-05 00:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $7.40 |