0xC44919585347FC59c162D51E62dB0F8B072fbB3F-1778303527810
0xc44919585347fc59c162d51e62db0f8b072fbb3f
- Realised P&L
- $-587.03
- Volume
- $160.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $86.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.17at 0.090Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
- +$47.67at 0.320Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$34.49at 0.229Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$14.10at 0.422Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$9.99at 0.550US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 16:18 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1079999991 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 04:16 | Trump kiss by May 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $40.00 |
| 05-22 04:12 | Trump kiss by May 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 04:06 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0889999992 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 04:05 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 05-22 04:04 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999986 | $90.00 |
| 05-22 03:56 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999462 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 06:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.009385917 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 03:49 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0839999958 | $20.00 |
| 05-20 03:49 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.0229239094 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 03:49 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 03:48 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $44.90 |
| 05-19 17:56 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY | 0.023841632 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 17:12 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 17:10 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0829999975 | $30.00 |