PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC44919585347FC59c162D51E62dB0F8B072fbB3F-1778303527810

0xc44919585347fc59c162d51e62db0f8b072fbb3f

Realised P&L
$-587.03
Volume
$160.8k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$86.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.3000.185$18.50−$11.50
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0700.024$16.79−$33.21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0780.021$15.75−$44.25
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? · Yes0.0470.024$14.89−$15.11
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.4320.125$8.68−$21.32
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1400.017$6.07−$43.93
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0560.009$3.02−$16.98
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.1580.037$2.33−$7.66
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$30.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$40.99
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.1290.000$0.00−$10.00
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? · No0.0870.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$280.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 16:18Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1079999991$100.00
05-22 04:16Trump kiss by May 31?BUY0.001$40.00
05-22 04:12Trump kiss by May 31?BUY0.001$10.00
05-22 04:06Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0889999992$100.00
05-22 04:05Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999987$50.00
05-22 04:04Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.6299999986$90.00
05-22 03:56Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.5599999462$10.00
05-21 06:12Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.009385917$10.00
05-20 03:49Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0839999958$20.00
05-20 03:49Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.0229239094$10.00
05-20 03:49Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.009$10.00
05-20 03:48Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.988$44.90
05-19 17:56Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?BUY0.023841632$10.00
05-19 17:12Ebola case in the US by June 30?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
05-19 17:10Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0829999975$30.00