PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

longlive1213

0xc447b1d8f8b9c4b8b3a002d09a39e309d6533023

Realised P&L
$-19.30
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$135.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27? · No0.9850.994$58.26+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27? · No0.9800.970$36.84−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 26? · No0.9861.000$35.69+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 26? · No0.9801.000$5.05+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 12:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 26?BUY0.9859999998$35.21
09-26 12:08Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.98$22.51
09-26 10:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.98$4.95
09-26 10:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?BUY0.9849999999$57.73
09-26 10:14Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.98$14.71
09-26 10:06Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 26?SELL0.999$134.60
09-26 09:48Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 26?BUY0.9960631985$36.00
09-26 09:40Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 26?SELL0.9942709747$36.62
09-26 09:11Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 26?BUY0.9939488826$98.00
09-26 07:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 26?SELL0.993$55.32
09-26 05:42Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.987$39.48
09-26 05:42Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.9893637503$15.55
09-26 05:30Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 26?BUY0.996$36.69
09-26 05:02Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 26?SELL0.999$68.61
09-26 02:32Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on September 26?SELL0.999$65.58