longlive1213
0xc447b1d8f8b9c4b8b3a002d09a39e309d6533023
- Realised P&L
- $-19.30
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $135.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27? · No | 0.985 | 0.994 | $58.26 | +$0.53 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27? · No | 0.980 | 0.970 | $36.84 | −$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 26? · No | 0.986 | 1.000 | $35.69 | +$0.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 26? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $5.05 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.36at 0.929Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 20?
- +$3.43at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 24?
- +$3.32at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 20?
- +$3.32at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 24?
- +$3.15at 0.960Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.9859999998 | $35.21 |
| 09-26 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $22.51 |
| 09-26 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.95 |
| 09-26 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9849999999 | $57.73 |
| 09-26 10:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.71 |
| 09-26 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $134.60 |
| 09-26 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9960631985 | $36.00 |
| 09-26 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.9942709747 | $36.62 |
| 09-26 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9939488826 | $98.00 |
| 09-26 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.993 | $55.32 |
| 09-26 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.987 | $39.48 |
| 09-26 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.9893637503 | $15.55 |
| 09-26 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $36.69 |
| 09-26 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $68.61 |
| 09-26 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $65.58 |