SHINGAR.
0xc4429f288c417e0b90d395fab5a6254adff44592
- Realised P&L
- $8.43
- Volume
- $555.64
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $1.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.84at 0.036Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?
- +$4.49at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28?
- +$4.22at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2?
- +$3.31at 0.146Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27?
- +$2.91at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 06:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.05 |
| 09-05 11:38 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 5? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.20 |
| 09-05 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.3549593731 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 4? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.25 |
| 09-02 05:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.2514518349 | $1.10 |
| 08-31 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.2289998353 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 28? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.95 |