PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SHINGAR.

0xc4429f288c417e0b90d395fab5a6254adff44592

Realised P&L
$8.43
Volume
$555.64
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$1.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 06:35Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 20?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-05 11:49Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5?SELL0.87$4.05
09-05 11:38Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 5?SELL0.07$0.20
09-05 10:16Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 5?BUY0.3549593731$1.00
09-05 02:58Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
09-04 04:24Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 4?BUY0.2$1.00
09-04 04:24Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 4?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
09-02 17:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2?SELL0.999$5.25
09-02 05:22Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 2?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-31 13:08Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 31?SELL0.2514518349$1.10
08-31 11:44Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 31?BUY0.2289998353$1.00
08-31 11:10Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?BUY0.033999968$1.00
08-29 10:31Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 29?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
08-29 07:09Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 29?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-28 13:56Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 28?SELL0.95$3.95