Sky14H
0xc4403d098f068d8819dbe8664397e294edd18e92
- Realised P&L
- $-8.98
- Volume
- $820.26
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $105.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.370 | $105.29 | −$14.71 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Up | 0.365 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.72at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$48.22at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$37.03at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$35.75at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$28.44at 0.338Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $1.47 |
| 11-02 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $0.82 |
| 11-02 12:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.365560361 | $20.00 |
| 11-02 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.4350405367 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.71 |
| 11-02 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.17 |
| 11-01 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $88.89 |
| 11-01 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $86.93 |
| 11-01 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5517433752 | $49.45 |
| 11-01 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $19.41 |
| 11-01 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $4.93 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4598198833 | $100.00 |