PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc437c766260b2d764bb1ddf39fc517ac870981fe

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$11.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1040.060$11.74−$8.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 01:00Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?BUY0.1037649087$20.31
09-14 12:18Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?SELL0.092$7.88
08-27 12:41Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.204$0.02
08-27 12:41Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.68$0.29
08-27 12:35Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.68$5.44
08-24 13:47Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?SELL0.0203367145$4.83
08-24 13:46Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.035143473$8.35
08-21 13:13Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.65$39.00
08-21 13:12Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.655$6.55
08-21 05:26Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.662$13.24
08-21 05:23Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.679$6.79
08-21 05:22Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.68$6.80
08-21 05:21Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.681$8.17
08-20 21:50Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?BUY0.5999999985$78.26
08-19 01:17Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.169$1.18