Adrianeex
0xc42e41395a096d04ce5eb607e250ec9cdf3e56b9
- Realised P&L
- $-7.2k
- Volume
- $277.5k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $41.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.154Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?
- +$404.49at 0.162Will SPOLU get between 23% and 26% of the vote in the Czech election?
- +$242.35at 0.552Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
- +$188.65at 0.138Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
- +$167.17at 0.393Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 14:04 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? | BUY | 0.0025111271 | $15.00 |
| 10-31 14:01 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? | BUY | 0.011 | $25.00 |
| 10-30 15:24 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0350275749 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 15:10 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0198255549 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 21:17 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.1496007959 | $12.00 |
| 10-23 15:54 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.0661171162 | $15.00 |
| 10-23 01:15 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.4269999772 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-23 01:11 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.0118366403 | $3.76 |
| 10-22 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.4788029906 | $40.00 |
| 10-22 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 23? | BUY | 0.1607055911 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 19:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.9894944627 | $81.31 |
| 10-22 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.0388886571 | $4.00 |
| 10-22 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.1128132831 | $15.00 |
| 10-22 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |