mag1cc
0xc423acad92fe2a816829cbbf96c3803cc0d79c27
- Realised P&L
- $-36.00
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $16.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.765 | $9.43 | −$1.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.870 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.747 | 0.115 | $1.74 | −$9.59 |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.035 | $0.14 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.53at 0.447US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.53at 0.255US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$5.10at 0.495Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$4.43at 0.220Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?
- +$3.75at 0.250US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 03:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $10.25 |
| 06-27 01:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.06 |
| 06-26 07:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $6.97 |
| 06-25 09:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 06-25 09:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.88 |
| 06-25 08:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.56 |
| 06-25 02:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 06-25 02:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 06-25 02:14 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.67 |
| 06-25 00:27 | Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.17 |
| 06-24 20:18 | Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.44 | $4.45 |
| 06-23 00:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.72 |
| 06-19 19:12 | United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.42 | $4.04 |
| 06-17 05:27 | Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.47 |
| 06-16 01:10 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |