RhaegalO
0xc41d71fb50fc0c76da4d82079b3a0e8c13916cb0
- Realised P&L
- $580.63
- Volume
- $44.7k
- Markets traded
- 626
- Open portfolio
- $3.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded626
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$351.41at 0.280Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
- +$256.92at 0.290Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
- +$149.69at 0.026Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 11?
- +$146.88at 0.280Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 15-21?
- +$123.62at 0.542Will Bitcoin reach $115K September 1–7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.0168316831 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 14:16 | Bitcoin above 83,800 on October 20, 11AM ET? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 09:00 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 6AM ET? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 08:43 | Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 20, 5AM ET? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.72 |
| 10-20 08:42 | Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.1047618998 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 08:30 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 08:01 | Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 20, 5AM ET? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:30 | Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 20, 4AM ET? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.19 |
| 10-20 06:27 | Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 20, 3AM ET? | BUY | 0.0382352929 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:08 | Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 20, 2AM ET? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:07 | Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 20, 2AM ET? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 04:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.0259999996 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 04:20 | Bitcoin above 82,200 on October 20, 1AM ET? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 04:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |