MountainPassMustangs
0xc41bcf9617240f21c6184fcd4c8e396f5c1e75ae
- Realised P&L
- $-350.96
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $578.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.88at 0.383Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?
- +$38.03at 0.620Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%?
- +$33.57at 0.643Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 35%-45%?
- +$31.13at 0.689Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?
- +$28.59at 0.428Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:28 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000? | BUY | 0.07963175 | $3.19 |
| 11-02 04:28 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,500,000 and 1,550,000? | BUY | 0.06436575 | $2.57 |
| 11-02 04:28 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000? | BUY | 0.055 | $2.20 |
| 11-02 04:27 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be 1,600,000 or more? | BUY | 0.02866275 | $1.15 |
| 11-02 04:27 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.80 |
| 11-01 18:56 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.0780393846 | $10.15 |
| 11-01 18:56 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.1461538462 | $19.00 |
| 10-29 19:39 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 10%-20%? | BUY | 0.086095814 | $3.70 |
| 10-29 04:18 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 10%-20%? | BUY | 0.084010339 | $4.96 |
| 10-28 22:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 35%-40%? | BUY | 0.0541108333 | $1.95 |
| 10-28 22:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.1352777778 | $4.87 |
| 10-28 22:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.84 |
| 10-28 22:16 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.0738191667 | $2.66 |
| 10-28 00:24 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 10-16 13:45 | Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%? | BUY | 0.0559836066 | $3.42 |