PolyBot

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Traders

MountainPassMustangs

0xc41bcf9617240f21c6184fcd4c8e396f5c1e75ae

Realised P&L
$-220.19
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$110.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 35%-45%? · No0.6340.800$80.00+$16.60
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.1120.129$12.84+$1.66
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%? · No0.5430.945$6.82+$2.90
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat? · No0.0500.045$4.50$0.50
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000? · Yes0.0220.049$4.37+$2.34
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.0130.011$0.77$0.23
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be less than 3,500,000? · Yes0.0090.004$0.35$0.56
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,500,000 and 3,700,000? · Yes0.0190.004$0.27$1.20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.0420.004$0.25$2.82
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 10%-20%? · Yes0.0140.003$0.17$0.83
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 0%-10%? · Yes0.0090.002$0.17$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 17? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$0.99
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00$3.98
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 18? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$0.92
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:08Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.117$9.30
09-14 14:07Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.062$2.08
09-14 13:45Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?BUY0.05$5.00
09-14 13:43Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 0%-10%?BUY0.0088666773$1.00
09-14 13:43Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 10%-20%?BUY0.0143626983$1.00
09-14 13:43Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.013559322$1.00
09-14 13:42Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.0255628303$1.00
09-14 13:40Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.093$0.56
09-08 23:34Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-15 House election by 35%-45%?BUY0.634$63.40
09-08 23:29Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?SELL0.79$57.67
09-08 20:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?SELL0.77$7.21
09-08 20:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?SELL0.76$30.40
09-08 17:30Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 0%-10%?SELL0.8291766667$24.88
09-08 07:06Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be less than 3,500,000?BUY0.0091057$0.91
09-08 07:05Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,500,000 and 3,700,000?BUY0.0191298533$1.47