PolyBot

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Traders

MountainPassMustangs

0xc41bcf9617240f21c6184fcd4c8e396f5c1e75ae

Realised P&L
$-350.96
Volume
$17.9k
Markets traded
211
Open portfolio
$578.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded211
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000? · Yes0.0560.462$90.09+$79.25
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? · Yes0.2010.260$33.41+$7.57
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 275,000 and 300,000? · Yes0.0050.159$31.80+$30.83
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.1120.308$30.65+$19.47
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 40%-45%? · Yes0.1060.205$25.21+$12.23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.1000.350$20.30+$14.50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.1460.140$18.20−$0.80
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000? · Yes0.0810.418$15.47+$12.47
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000? · Yes0.0670.087$15.14+$3.51
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 310,000 and 340,000? · Yes0.0080.068$14.24+$12.63
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000? · Yes0.0500.212$13.14+$10.04
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-16 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.0130.102$12.48+$10.90
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware be between 300,000 and 325,000? · Yes0.0040.060$12.00+$11.19
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000? · Yes0.0580.055$11.00−$0.58
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.1800.180$10.44+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 04:28Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?BUY0.07963175$3.19
11-02 04:28Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,500,000 and 1,550,000?BUY0.06436575$2.57
11-02 04:28Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000?BUY0.055$2.20
11-02 04:27Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be 1,600,000 or more?BUY0.02866275$1.15
11-02 04:27Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?BUY0.07$2.80
11-01 18:56Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%?BUY0.0780393846$10.15
11-01 18:56Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.1461538462$19.00
10-29 19:39Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 10%-20%?BUY0.086095814$3.70
10-29 04:18Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-01 House election by 10%-20%?BUY0.084010339$4.96
10-28 22:16Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 35%-40%?BUY0.0541108333$1.95
10-28 22:16Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 25%-30%?BUY0.1352777778$4.87
10-28 22:16Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 20%-25%?BUY0.19$6.84
10-28 22:16Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.0738191667$2.66
10-28 00:24Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?BUY0.12$1.80
10-16 13:45Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%?BUY0.0559836066$3.42