broadhill34
0xc40434deae2d9901d1a5e7806b50639bebfe6157
- Realised P&L
- $-48.74
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $2.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.74at 0.727Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
- +$8.47at 0.723Heat vs. Wizards
- +$8.29at 0.723Thunder vs. Lakers
- +$5.25at 0.737Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 8?
- +$3.46at 0.190Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 05:56 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-15 17:32 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.30 |
| 08-11 20:22 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-11 10:19 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-06 13:23 | Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:23 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.67 |
| 08-06 13:23 | Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.32 |
| 08-06 13:23 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 08-06 13:23 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-06 13:22 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 08-06 13:22 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 08-02 08:32 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.33 |
| 08-02 02:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.38 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-01 10:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.16 |