jodimaxwell
0xc4040fcc12d5a02ae4bc20f79404bcb4d7fa067d
- Realised P&L
- $16.27
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $53.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.645 | $15.50 | +$0.12 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 27? · No | 0.940 | 0.976 | $14.27 | +$0.53 |
| Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.745 | $13.97 | +$0.84 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · No | 0.590 | 0.555 | $9.64 | −$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.957Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.74at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.29at 0.988Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.08at 0.990Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$1.07at 0.990Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.63 |
| 01-30 16:09 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.14 |
| 01-30 14:10 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.98 |
| 01-30 13:27 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.90 |
| 12-30 13:38 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.82 |
| 12-30 10:27 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.01 |
| 12-29 20:28 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.62 |
| 12-29 19:48 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999952 | $25.17 |
| 10-30 22:35 | Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.27 |
| 10-30 17:46 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $19.08 |
| 09-29 09:53 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.36 |
| 09-29 01:53 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.68 |
| 09-29 01:27 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $19.83 |
| 09-29 00:06 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.38 |
| 08-31 18:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August? | BUY | 0.9989999636 | $14.46 |