PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc40320ef057d6e21c0595c15C3492e06E54c546F-1768317471556

0xc40320ef057d6e21c0595c15c3492e06e54c546f

Realised P&L
$-907.88
Volume
$57.9k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$599.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · No0.9210.971$526.81+$26.81
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · Yes0.1180.170$72.21+$22.21
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over0.7600.000$0.00−$50.00
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 · Over0.2000.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14? · No0.9440.000$0.00−$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET · Down0.9200.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 05:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?SELL0.2136571608$13.64
09-07 05:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?BUY0.8662235794$100.00
09-07 03:14Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.88$50.00
09-07 03:10Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,300?BUY0.8499999983$50.00
09-07 03:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?BUY0.9399999997$60.00
09-07 03:04Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?SELL0.07$21.00
09-02 08:20Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.1$30.00
08-21 01:07ByteDance IPO before 2027?BUY0.9211107287$500.00
08-12 17:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 13?BUY0.828343312$80.00
08-08 23:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 9?BUY0.866533864$50.00
07-30 03:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.92$100.00
07-25 05:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24?SELL0.999$210.52
07-25 05:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?SELL0.999$208.12
07-24 05:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?BUY0.96$200.00
07-23 07:13Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 24?BUY0.9490770711$200.00