poopshakes123
0xc402ed7418a73042e3ffc7252c9fce552c1e9ee0
- Realised P&L
- $-125.63
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $373.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.165 | $205.65 | +$20.45 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.063 | $61.27 | +$11.28 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.595 | $58.33 | +$8.33 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? · Yes | 0.443 | 0.425 | $47.92 | −$2.08 |
| Seahawks vs. Titans · Seahawks | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-14.89at 0.762Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?
- +$-26.93at 0.340Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 21:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $25.00 |
| 09-02 23:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.4434615985 | $50.00 |
| 09-02 23:17 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 01:24 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $25.82 |
| 08-31 19:34 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0509999991 | $50.00 |
| 08-31 19:30 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.3292328847 | $50.00 |
| 08-26 12:38 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.58 |
| 08-26 00:42 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7524752393 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 01:27 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1486872666 | $85.20 |
| 08-24 01:05 | Seahawks vs. Titans | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 01:02 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1476865339 | $100.00 |