PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

oceanmist79

0xc401fdf872a9c93e06a9b332987a887f1d698b2c

Realised P&L
$-12.1k
Volume
$189.4k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$12.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6850.920$10.8k+$2.8k
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0230.025$1.1k+$64.39
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.560$546.59−$292.91
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0170.007$1.22−$1.75
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$328.27
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$11.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 02:25US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
06-25 02:25US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
06-24 16:21US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
06-24 16:20US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.23$2.30
06-24 16:20US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.23$2.30
06-24 16:20US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.23$2.30
06-24 16:20US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.23$2.30
06-24 16:20US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.23$2.30
06-24 16:17Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?BUY0.26$328.28
06-24 16:17Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.2379524754$229.12
06-24 16:17Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.25$121.75
06-24 01:53Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.023$1.38
06-24 01:53Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.023$2.30
06-24 01:53Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.023$11.50
06-24 01:52Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.023$11.50