0xc3fdb51561fea64a4c29d20948c85b08b9937112
0xc3fdb51561fea64a4c29d20948c85b08b9937112
- Realised P&L
- $18.80
- Volume
- $34.01
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $24.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar55.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Notre Dame (-27.5) · Notre Dame | 0.500 | 0.505 | $6.80 | +$0.07 |
| Spread: Texas (-5.5) · Tennessee | 0.500 | 0.515 | $4.95 | +$0.14 |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-34.5) · Texas Tech | 0.500 | 0.515 | $4.86 | +$0.14 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-8.5) · New Mexico State | 0.500 | 0.430 | $4.78 | −$0.78 |
| Northwestern vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.140 | 0.095 | $3.23 | −$1.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.87at 0.500Buenos Aires 2: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Alex Barrena
- +$7.94at 0.500Laver Cup: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Bublik
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 01:11 | Northwestern vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $4.76 |