0xc3f7bca0264881bb0baab8bc6505d6c69b1da812
0xc3f7bca0264881bb0baab8bc6505d6c69b1da812
- Realised P&L
- $-20.15
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $5.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Down | 0.520 | 1.000 | $3.85 | +$1.85 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.10 October 26-November 1? · No | 0.999 | 0.908 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will XRP reach $1.40 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.115 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.73at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$44.73at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
- +$21.83at 0.769LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$20.31at 0.502LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$18.10at 0.056XRP Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999561 | $2.12 |
| 11-02 03:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 03:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999973 | $32.00 |
| 11-02 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999847 | $16.00 |
| 11-02 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 11-02 03:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $4.00 |
| 11-02 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 03:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 02:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 02:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999883 | $1.85 |