PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cheerfully

0xc3eee0e0d3f62c43c1028bfbf95f955cc2155b86

Realised P&L
$-2.54
Volume
$100.71
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$11.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18? · No0.9910.994$2.85+$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · No0.9880.990$2.84+$0.00
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.9800.998$2.25+$0.04
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9890.983$2.16$0.01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 17? · No0.9920.990$1.11$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:01Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 17?BUY0.992$1.11
09-15 19:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18?BUY0.9879999972$2.84
09-15 19:58Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 18?BUY0.9909999976$2.84
09-15 19:57Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9889999954$2.17
09-08 05:16Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.0359999996$2.78
09-08 05:15Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.9849999955$2.20
09-08 05:14Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.98$2.21
09-08 05:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?BUY0.99$1.53
09-02 17:01Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.9869999962$1.04
09-02 16:59Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.98$1.05
09-02 16:57Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.9669999817$1.48
08-30 11:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 31?BUY0.99$1.99
08-30 10:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 31?BUY0.9789999985$2.68