0xc3ed109b65de5026da25cf80ce91779dfc2c9f79
- Realised P&L
- $244.5k
- Volume
- $4.59M
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $7.47
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.669 | 0.001 | $7.47 | −$10.0k |
| Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-08-03? · No | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.0k |
| Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-05? · No | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.9k |
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? · No | 0.467 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.9kat 0.450Will France win on 2026-07-18?
- +$55.3kat 0.585Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$54.8kat 0.432Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$24.0kat 0.247Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$18.4kat 0.467Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.669319396 | $10.0k |
| 08-05 17:54 | Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $10.0k |
| 08-05 16:25 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5110785895 | $3.9k |
| 08-05 16:24 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.4831058839 | $5.0k |
| 08-05 16:23 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.4665383984 | $8.9k |
| 08-04 19:57 | Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.3316496898 | $1000.00 |
| 08-04 19:56 | Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.3255530751 | $1000.00 |
| 08-04 19:56 | Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.3219080366 | $1000.00 |
| 08-04 19:51 | Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.3152849141 | $2.0k |
| 08-04 19:49 | Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.4k |
| 08-04 17:55 | Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6499999999 | $700.00 |
| 08-04 17:55 | Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6520682355 | $10.0k |
| 08-04 17:55 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.6395139694 | $10.0k |
| 08-04 17:23 | Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.61 | $10.0k |
| 08-04 17:22 | Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.0k |