PolyBot

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Traders

worldclassdegen

0xc3e45193d37ec34b82129adfc46abff7bb415bf6

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$2.91M
Markets traded
466
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded466
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.033$3.2k+$948.58
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0390.054$1.9k+$541.42
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.004$783.86$1.7k
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$42.71$33.22
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.005$24.68$4.93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$983.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$254.99
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik · Alexander Bublik0.1660.000$0.00$1.1k
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery · Flavio Cobolli0.0140.000$0.00$140.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$449.99
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00$390.14
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca · Joao Fonseca0.2100.000$0.00$1.0k
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Fery · Grigor Dimitrov0.6700.000$0.00$1.1k
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic0.0490.000$0.00$1.5k
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien · Learner Tien0.6100.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 15:36Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$0.60
09-02 15:46Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$1.5k
08-31 00:34US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.53$4.77
08-31 00:33US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.53$927.12
08-31 00:20US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.76$760.00
08-26 16:34Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.93$1.0k
08-13 17:24Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.5081639966$265.18
08-13 00:44National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Ben SheltonBUY0.32$20.21
08-11 10:57Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.6239423234$572.49
08-08 18:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?BUY0.98$1.0k
07-28 17:19Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael JodarBUY0.6$31.63
07-23 17:43Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.38$476.04
07-23 17:42Iran full airspace closure by July 31?SELL0.39$526.68
07-18 17:55Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.3992534791$330.79
07-18 17:39Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.1608133428$487.50