worldclassdegen
0xc3e45193d37ec34b82129adfc46abff7bb415bf6
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $2.91M
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.8kat 0.070US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.045US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$3.5kat 0.678Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$3.4kat 0.370US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.444US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 15:36 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.60 |
| 09-02 15:46 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.5k |
| 08-31 00:34 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.53 | $4.77 |
| 08-31 00:33 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.53 | $927.12 |
| 08-31 00:20 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.76 | $760.00 |
| 08-26 16:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.0k |
| 08-13 17:24 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5081639966 | $265.18 |
| 08-13 00:44 | National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.32 | $20.21 |
| 08-11 10:57 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.6239423234 | $572.49 |
| 08-08 18:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.0k |
| 07-28 17:19 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.6 | $31.63 |
| 07-23 17:43 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $476.04 |
| 07-23 17:42 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $526.68 |
| 07-18 17:55 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.3992534791 | $330.79 |
| 07-18 17:39 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.1608133428 | $487.50 |