PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

diablebleu

0xc3e07b10271149b851f0533fe7b7509eaaae4eb7

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$285.9k
Markets traded
130
Open portfolio
$432.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded130
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · Yes0.0980.055$270.05$210.05
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0890.048$53.67$46.75
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0660.051$38.53$11.95
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.011$35.19$39.81
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.003$25.00$55.00
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1000.033$9.90$20.10
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$38.56
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$0.98
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · No0.0300.000$0.00$12.00
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$65.55
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$11.50
Tucker Carlson federally charged? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$22.96
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$46.40
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$8.82
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$17.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 16:04Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.026$13.52
06-02 18:44Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?BUY0.0160697307$16.07
06-02 06:36Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.0192803314$38.56
05-31 16:54Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?SELL0.003$1.65
05-31 16:44Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?SELL0.0078943963$1.40
05-31 16:41Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31?SELL0.01$4.00
05-31 16:39Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?SELL0.0129878259$7.15
05-31 16:38Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?SELL0.0015243104$1.21
05-30 20:29Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?SELL0.011251046$2.69
05-30 18:16Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?SELL0.033$2.66
05-30 18:10Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?SELL0.0205188365$3.75
05-30 14:40Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?SELL0.0190969921$3.00
05-30 09:05Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?SELL0.0201695369$5.27
05-29 16:11Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?SELL0.02$0.64
05-29 16:11Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?SELL0.0215051333$6.45