diablebleu
0xc3e07b10271149b851f0533fe7b7509eaaae4eb7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $285.9k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $432.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.143Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
- +$731.01at 0.257Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?
- +$400.19at 0.301Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
- +$309.56at 0.313Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
- +$199.78at 0.136Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 16:04 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $13.52 |
| 06-02 18:44 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.0160697307 | $16.07 |
| 06-02 06:36 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.0192803314 | $38.56 |
| 05-31 16:54 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.65 |
| 05-31 16:44 | Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0078943963 | $1.40 |
| 05-31 16:41 | Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 05-31 16:39 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0129878259 | $7.15 |
| 05-31 16:38 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0015243104 | $1.21 |
| 05-30 20:29 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31? | SELL | 0.011251046 | $2.69 |
| 05-30 18:16 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? | SELL | 0.033 | $2.66 |
| 05-30 18:10 | Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31? | SELL | 0.0205188365 | $3.75 |
| 05-30 14:40 | Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31? | SELL | 0.0190969921 | $3.00 |
| 05-30 09:05 | Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31? | SELL | 0.0201695369 | $5.27 |
| 05-29 16:11 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.64 |
| 05-29 16:11 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? | SELL | 0.0215051333 | $6.45 |