diablebleu
0xc3e07b10271149b851f0533fe7b7509eaaae4eb7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $342.4k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $548.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.143Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
- +$731.01at 0.257Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?
- +$400.19at 0.301Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
- +$309.56at 0.313Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
- +$199.78at 0.136Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 12:19 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 10-26 12:09 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $11.90 |
| 10-26 11:46 | Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0634838573 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 18:04 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 10-20 18:02 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $18.00 |
| 07-02 16:04 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.026 | $13.52 |
| 06-02 18:44 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | BUY | 0.0160697307 | $16.07 |
| 06-02 06:36 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.0192803314 | $38.56 |
| 05-31 16:54 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.65 |
| 05-31 16:44 | Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0078943963 | $1.40 |
| 05-31 16:41 | Will Russia capture Sofiivka by May 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 05-31 16:39 | Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0129878259 | $7.15 |
| 05-31 16:38 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0015243104 | $1.21 |
| 05-30 20:29 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31? | SELL | 0.011251046 | $2.69 |
| 05-30 18:16 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31? | SELL | 0.033 | $2.66 |