3000raz.otzhalsya
0xc3ddcdf9293badd2971b8f0a2a890a1eb7bda559
- Realised P&L
- $5.89
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $164.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.984 | 0.981 | $49.44 | −$0.18 |
| Will Alberta join the US? · No | 0.978 | 0.987 | $49.04 | +$0.42 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.945 | $46.91 | −$0.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.955 | $18.88 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.941Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
- +$1.22at 0.964Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- +$0.66at 0.970Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
- +$0.60at 0.973Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
- +$0.20at 0.954Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 10:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $48.80 |
| 04-08 08:43 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9699999655 | $21.35 |