0xC3dd01E2ca4e0238a9Ab319B89FF08F5FE66E27A-1773345343377
0xc3dd01e2ca4e0238a9ab319b89ff08f5fe66e27a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.64
- Volume
- $409.06
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $3.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? · Yes | 0.440 | 1.000 | $2.27 | +$1.27 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.972 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.009 | $0.41 | −$3.59 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox · Washington Nationals | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026? · No | 0.749 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.50at 0.300Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros
- +$3.29at 0.266San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$2.57at 0.211Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$2.38at 0.317Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
- +$2.02at 0.336Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 21:37 | Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 21:34 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 21:34 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 19:39 | Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 19:38 | Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 19:37 | New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 18:31 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 22:06 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 22:58 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 22:57 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.52 | $2.00 |
| 05-23 20:57 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 19:13 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 05-22 14:57 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 05-22 04:49 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 21:19 | Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |