Muskegonq2.
0xc3d8f7751aaa39d426df728eaee6caef903d5031
- Realised P&L
- $-104.45
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 198
- Open portfolio
- $82.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded198
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.725 | $62.14 | +$2.14 |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) · Switzerland | 0.440 | 0.455 | $20.68 | +$0.68 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.38 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.86 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.376 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.97 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-07? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.81at 0.517Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$51.10at 0.622Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$20.68at 0.710Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$19.80at 0.740Will France win on 2026-09-25?
- +$18.40at 0.624Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 02:58 | Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 09-26 02:57 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $60.00 |
| 09-25 20:26 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.83 | $19.90 |
| 09-25 19:40 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.26 |
| 09-25 19:39 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | SELL | 0.87 | $15.00 |
| 09-25 15:08 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6799999978 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 15:08 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $70.00 |
| 09-25 10:54 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 08:27 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 20:22 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.924 | $13.59 |
| 09-24 20:20 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.79 | $11.72 |
| 09-24 19:55 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.93 | $13.67 |
| 09-24 19:47 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.75 | $22.25 |
| 09-24 15:41 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 15:40 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.589999999 | $35.00 |