PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x960Dbfa4E67988871f9027a4623c39b832CBD582-1776135573838

0xc3d5c80575daede2c9997eaa7ee77ea51a27c693

Realised P&L
$-222.52
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
734
Open portfolio
$23.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded734
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4? · Yes0.4800.475$11.69−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 4? · Yes0.5600.545$5.24−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 4? · Yes0.3600.295$3.59−$0.79
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on October 4? · Yes0.3500.265$1.74−$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4? · Yes0.4600.305$1.64−$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 20? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00−$5.44
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$0.98
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$3.88
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1? · Yes0.4310.000$0.00−$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 20? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 14? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 13? · Yes0.4270.000$0.00−$6.51
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 11? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on August 10? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 06:05Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.4$1.18
09-30 16:06Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 30?BUY0.4493890178$5.81
09-30 08:05Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.3977405405$7.36
09-28 21:05Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29?BUY0.41$6.03
09-28 07:10Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?BUY0.41$1.25
09-27 21:05Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 28?BUY0.52$1.23
09-27 01:06Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 27?BUY0.41$1.76
09-26 15:08Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 26?BUY0.31$2.19
09-26 01:44Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.35$2.08
09-26 01:07Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.4$1.58
09-26 01:06Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.37$2.06
09-25 21:05Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 26?BUY0.36$2.40
09-25 15:16Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 25?BUY0.33$1.20
09-25 13:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 25?BUY0.46$1.63
09-25 08:05Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.34$1.94