PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Choby86

0xc3d5a96b5284b19141f2c8d7651e5c62bd82b033

Realised P&L
$-654.08
Volume
$39.4k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$45.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes0.2400.525$35.17+$19.09
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0480.108$6.37+$3.54
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0800.036$3.59$4.39
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.7700.000$0.00$152.00
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$200.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8400.000$0.00$319.20
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5 · Under0.9040.000$0.00$34.33
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$30.00
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$100.00
Kings vs. Pelicans · Kings0.2960.000$0.00$190.00
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-16? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5 · Over0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Preston (+1.5) · Jovic0.0180.000$0.00$10.00
Lakers vs. Bulls · Bulls0.4800.000$0.00$98.00
Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinals · Ohio Bobcats0.2260.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-02 10:32Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?BUY0.24$16.08
04-02 10:31Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.048$2.83
04-02 10:30Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.08$7.98
02-28 06:19US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.64$64.00
02-18 06:00Will the State of the Union address be delayed?SELL0.94$37.60
02-18 05:59Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?SELL0.7$15.29
02-18 05:59Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?SELL0.82$14.39
02-17 05:40Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?SELL0.69$34.50
02-14 06:51Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.82$46.06
02-14 06:50Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?SELL0.143$40.95
02-11 23:33Pepperdine Waves vs. Saint Mary's GaelsSELL0.9724039515$99.42
02-11 14:05Troy Trojans vs. Texas State BobcatsBUY0.3399999967$52.00
02-11 14:03US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.82$57.75
02-11 14:03US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?SELL0.981$53.31
02-11 14:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.43$48.86