Choby86
0xc3d5a96b5284b19141f2c8d7651e5c62bd82b033
- Realised P&L
- $-654.08
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $45.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.81at 0.410Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm
- +$234.78at 0.460Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5
- +$221.64at 0.670Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$182.74at 0.450Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)
- +$111.09at 0.749Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 10:32 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | BUY | 0.24 | $16.08 |
| 04-02 10:31 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.048 | $2.83 |
| 04-02 10:30 | Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.08 | $7.98 |
| 02-28 06:19 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 02-18 06:00 | Will the State of the Union address be delayed? | SELL | 0.94 | $37.60 |
| 02-18 05:59 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70? | SELL | 0.7 | $15.29 |
| 02-18 05:59 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80? | SELL | 0.82 | $14.39 |
| 02-17 05:40 | Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals? | SELL | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 02-14 06:51 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $46.06 |
| 02-14 06:50 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February? | SELL | 0.143 | $40.95 |
| 02-11 23:33 | Pepperdine Waves vs. Saint Mary's Gaels | SELL | 0.9724039515 | $99.42 |
| 02-11 14:05 | Troy Trojans vs. Texas State Bobcats | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $52.00 |
| 02-11 14:03 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $57.75 |
| 02-11 14:03 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $53.31 |
| 02-11 14:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $48.86 |