0xc3c812b82b31ce93b679e5135d06f64bf302216b
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.065 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.98at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?
- +$0.40at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 31?
- +$-0.02at 0.983Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$-0.12at 0.530Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$-0.46at 0.009Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0676616905 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0046292248 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $1.90 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.38 |
| 10-31 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0026575147 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 16:45 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $0.96 |
| 10-31 05:46 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999969 | $1.90 |
| 10-31 04:52 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.41 |
| 10-30 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 18:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.56 |
| 10-30 18:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |