0xc3c24e74007e40f2684b6e805a7e70cd70835eee
0xc3c24e74007e40f2684b6e805a7e70cd70835eee
- Realised P&L
- $-80.91
- Volume
- $366.31
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $3.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.991 | $1.02 | +$0.04 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Payton Talbott next? · No | 0.989 | 1.000 | $1.02 | +$0.01 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.976 | $0.99 | +$0.03 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? · Yes | 0.778 | 0.184 | $0.24 | −$0.77 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026? · Yes | 0.693 | 0.025 | $0.07 | −$1.95 |
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.023 | $0.07 | −$0.94 |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.004 | $0.03 | −$1.99 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.737 | 0.009 | $0.02 | −$2.00 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.09at 0.480Blinkova vs. Jovic: Match O/U 21.5
- +$0.35at 0.897Honor of Kings: XQG Esports Club vs WST - Game 1 Winner
- +$0.29at 0.874Honor of Kings: Qing Jiu Club vs JD Gaming - Game 6 Winner
- +$0.21at 0.830Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$0.21at 0.830Rainbow Six Siege: InControl vs Arial Arise - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 2? | BUY | 0.1180000143 | $0.92 |
| 04-02 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2? | SELL | 0.0185923077 | $0.17 |
| 04-02 08:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 2? | BUY | 0.0365655237 | $0.91 |
| 04-02 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.01 |
| 04-02 07:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2? | BUY | 0.1026422764 | $0.92 |
| 04-01 07:59 | Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.896 | $0.03 |
| 04-01 07:58 | Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026? | SELL | 0.847 | $0.04 |
| 03-28 20:01 | Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.04 |
| 03-28 20:01 | Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.07 |
| 03-14 02:13 | Rainbow Six Siege: 9z vs Imperial Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8599999659 | $1.01 |
| 03-14 02:11 | Game Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | BUY | 0.9 | $1.01 |
| 03-14 02:10 | Game Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | BUY | 0.9 | $1.01 |
| 03-14 02:09 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8899999736 | $1.01 |
| 03-14 02:08 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $1.01 |
| 03-12 15:29 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8299999014 | $1.01 |