ergnaeriognare
0xc3b8cee2ac9fdfe97bfd591692093947b1915308
- Realised P&L
- $-599.04
- Volume
- $69.4k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $227.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.06at 0.351Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$248.38at 0.425Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
- +$225.98at 0.504Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$172.07at 0.603Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$135.64at 0.402Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-18 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $1.70 |
| 01-18 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $1.51 |
| 01-18 19:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $10.27 |
| 01-18 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $11.15 |
| 01-18 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.99 |
| 01-18 19:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $13.66 |
| 01-18 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $3.76 |
| 01-18 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.495 | $4.80 |
| 01-18 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $6.06 |
| 01-18 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $3.98 |
| 01-18 19:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 01-18 19:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.0562625251 | $2.25 |
| 01-18 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 01-18 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $2.19 |
| 01-18 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $4.72 |