PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc3b6e941867b8e622093adcc88bc24c9a29890d3

Realised P&L
$109.43
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
609
Open portfolio
$13.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded609
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 04:16Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?SELL0.36$0.35
09-20 03:06Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?SELL0.3$0.14
09-19 23:34Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.768$3.60
09-19 23:34Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.202$0.06
09-19 16:37Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.3359999449$1.66
09-19 16:12Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?BUY0.8799999727$1.29
09-19 14:56Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?BUY0.6699998741$2.66
09-19 14:56Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?BUY0.619999876$1.30
09-19 14:39Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.771$0.08
09-19 14:24Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.77$0.31
09-19 11:59Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?SELL0.444$0.07
09-19 11:07Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.785$0.75
09-19 09:07Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?SELL0.153$0.15
09-19 07:26Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.152$2.12
09-19 07:26Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?SELL0.784$0.98