0xc3b6e941867b8e622093adcc88bc24c9a29890d3
- Realised P&L
- $109.43
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 609
- Open portfolio
- $13.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded609
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.84at 0.295Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?
- +$41.77at 0.110Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
- +$25.82at 0.480Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
- +$24.81at 0.103Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?
- +$18.80at 0.581Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:16 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.35 |
| 09-20 03:06 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.14 |
| 09-19 23:34 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.768 | $3.60 |
| 09-19 23:34 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.202 | $0.06 |
| 09-19 16:37 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.3359999449 | $1.66 |
| 09-19 16:12 | Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | BUY | 0.8799999727 | $1.29 |
| 09-19 14:56 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.6699998741 | $2.66 |
| 09-19 14:56 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | BUY | 0.619999876 | $1.30 |
| 09-19 14:39 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.771 | $0.08 |
| 09-19 14:24 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.31 |
| 09-19 11:59 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | SELL | 0.444 | $0.07 |
| 09-19 11:07 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.785 | $0.75 |
| 09-19 09:07 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | SELL | 0.153 | $0.15 |
| 09-19 07:26 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.152 | $2.12 |
| 09-19 07:26 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.784 | $0.98 |