Shugi199
0xc3b13f07fe7c7d201bc46eb12cd5c14867d01b40
- Realised P&L
- $-357.49
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $422.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes | 0.439 | 0.845 | $422.50 | +$203.20 |
| Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.55at 0.682Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$-357.49at 0.475Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:07 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.4386 | $219.30 |
| 10-28 08:06 | Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.78 | $9.36 |
| 10-28 08:03 | Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7470114943 | $72.14 |
| 10-28 07:44 | Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3176809699 | $23.32 |
| 10-28 07:37 | Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 07:36 | Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6233092224 | $34.47 |
| 10-28 05:20 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3044536767 | $638.44 |
| 10-13 04:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4769633298 | $905.28 |
| 10-12 19:33 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 10-12 14:39 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.451 | $44.65 |