PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Cryptooralce

0xc3aa35df7917a873544eb993b534e5c04721bddc

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$124.9k
Markets traded
320
Open portfolio
$353.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded320
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6060.835$139.07+$38.20
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February? · No0.6441.000$77.52+$27.60
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein? · No0.7811.000$38.38+$8.40
Nothing Ever Happens: February · Something0.5651.000$36.00+$15.66
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1520.140$27.51−$2.41
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2970.067$6.66−$23.10
Will Ye say something antisemitic before March? · No0.8751.000$6.52+$0.82
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February? · No0.8301.000$6.43+$1.09
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31? · Yes0.1301.000$5.31+$4.62
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates · Yes0.8541.000$5.04+$0.74
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31? · Yes0.0691.000$4.98+$4.63
Nothing Ever Happens: February · Nothing0.8750.000$0.00−$505.86
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition · Yes0.4810.000$0.00−$123.75
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00−$9.72
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei · Yes0.6030.000$0.00−$314.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-07 14:59Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesBUY0.5036322305$43.50
03-07 14:59Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesSELL0.0310065625$39.69
03-07 14:57Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesBUY0.1191723918$7.46
03-07 14:57Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesBUY0.0788762224$43.50
03-07 14:57Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesSELL0.9302571429$58.61
03-07 14:57Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesBUY0.0599999986$40.00
03-07 14:56Nothing Ever Happens: Interest RatesSELL0.04$15.00
02-28 09:54Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.5586498681$34.00
02-28 09:54Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.5299999959$34.00
02-28 09:54Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.559999998$33.50
02-28 08:06Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.6899999834$35.00
02-28 08:06Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.6899999834$35.00
02-28 08:06Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.5972637095$35.00
02-28 08:06Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.6899999834$35.00
02-28 08:06Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiBUY0.5799999987$35.00