0xc3aa35df7917a873544eb993b534e5c04721bddc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $125.3k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $338.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.40at 0.065Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$214.08at 0.290Nothing Ever Happens: January
- +$213.20at 0.717Megaquake in 2025?
- +$213.09at 0.780Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
- +$165.41at 0.231Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 14:59 | Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates | BUY | 0.5036322305 | $43.50 |
| 03-07 14:59 | Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates | SELL | 0.0310065625 | $39.69 |
| 03-07 14:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates | BUY | 0.1191723918 | $7.46 |
| 03-07 14:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates | BUY | 0.0788762224 | $43.50 |
| 03-07 14:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates | SELL | 0.9302571429 | $58.61 |
| 03-07 14:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates | BUY | 0.0599999986 | $40.00 |
| 03-07 14:56 | Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates | SELL | 0.04 | $15.00 |
| 02-28 09:54 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.5586498681 | $34.00 |
| 02-28 09:54 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.5299999959 | $34.00 |
| 02-28 09:54 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.559999998 | $33.50 |
| 02-28 08:06 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.6899999834 | $35.00 |
| 02-28 08:06 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.6899999834 | $35.00 |
| 02-28 08:06 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.5972637095 | $35.00 |
| 02-28 08:06 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.6899999834 | $35.00 |
| 02-28 08:06 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.5799999987 | $35.00 |