Anon-2
0xc3a6a41e2e9f2c163fabe1d696cd2ae66c9de8ff
- Realised P&L
- $-26.12
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $47.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.53at 0.390Solana Up or Down - October 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
- +$11.73at 0.466Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 10?
- +$10.87at 0.189Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?
- +$10.75at 0.656Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$10.31at 0.611XRP Up or Down - October 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.24 |
| 10-11 09:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $2.60 |
| 10-11 08:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.43 |
| 10-11 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $3.29 |
| 10-11 08:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.57 |
| 10-11 07:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $2.31 |
| 10-11 07:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $4.91 |
| 10-11 06:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $4.34 |
| 10-11 05:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $4.74 |
| 10-11 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $4.99 |
| 10-11 04:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.81 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 18:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 14? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.16 |
| 10-10 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $2.20 |