GraciaAlta
0xc3a4839133205928d57b6bcb3a2435fe923a55f7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.18
- Volume
- $206.64
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $2.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $2.99 | −$1.01 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 9? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.88at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.17at 0.235Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$1.27at 0.260Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
- +$0.67at 0.330Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?
- +$0.56at 0.640Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 12:23 | Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | BUY | 0.0891088315 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:45 | Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | BUY | 0.0869999272 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:45 | Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | BUY | 0.0890000084 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 19:06 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 04:48 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 04:47 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 04:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 02:17 | Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 02-19 03:12 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 01:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.17 |
| 01-14 03:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 01-13 08:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13? | BUY | 0.0449999575 | $1.00 |
| 01-13 07:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13? | BUY | 0.0859999286 | $1.00 |
| 01-13 07:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.67 |
| 01-13 04:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |