PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

GraciaAlta

0xc3a4839133205928d57b6bcb3a2435fe923a55f7

Realised P&L
$-2.18
Volume
$206.64
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$2.99$1.01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$1.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00$2.00
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 8? · Up0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 9? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 12:23Record crypto liquidation in 2026?BUY0.0891088315$1.00
07-01 17:45Record crypto liquidation in 2026?BUY0.0869999272$1.00
07-01 17:45Record crypto liquidation in 2026?BUY0.0890000084$1.00
06-23 19:06Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.52$1.00
06-12 04:48Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
06-12 04:47Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
06-12 04:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
05-06 02:17Record crypto liquidation in 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
02-19 03:12US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.064$1.00
01-26 01:22Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?SELL0.49$4.17
01-14 03:04Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
01-13 08:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?BUY0.0449999575$1.00
01-13 07:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?BUY0.0859999286$1.00
01-13 07:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?SELL0.55$1.67
01-13 04:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?BUY0.3299997822$1.00