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Traders

mdrzn - 30693

0xc3a09cd22f5e469b33250aa6351111de621feabd

Realised P&L
$362.19
Volume
$98.7k
Markets traded
820
Open portfolio
$876.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded820
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5420.747$279.89+$76.69
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3970.650$233.37+$90.91
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.7300.945$132.30+$30.10
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0690.101$60.30+$19.10
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0240.029$60.18+$11.27
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? · Yes0.0420.173$20.75+$15.75
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · No0.1000.090$9.00$1.00
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.0500.082$8.15+$3.15
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0350.039$7.80+$0.80
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1100.065$6.50$4.50
Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1010.045$6.13$7.67
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes0.3830.065$5.68$28.02
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1900.105$5.53$4.47
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0090.009$5.04+$0.27
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0120.013$5.00+$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 15:10Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.007$2.10
07-20 15:08China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.38$38.00
07-19 21:19Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2974999824$10.00
07-19 21:04Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersSELL0.999$69.69
07-19 21:04Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersSELL0.2161996466$12.24
07-19 20:57Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersBUY0.5299999972$30.00
07-19 19:49Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5SELL0.22$53.26
07-19 19:18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.4299999971$30.00
07-19 19:11Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.4130750694$100.00
07-19 08:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$106.20
07-19 08:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$45.95
07-14 19:19Will France win on 2026-07-14?SELL0.2108274125$58.16
07-14 18:57Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.362499999$100.00
07-12 18:46Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.13$30.95
07-12 17:34Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSELL0.74$111.00