mdrzn - 30693
0xc3a09cd22f5e469b33250aa6351111de621feabd
- Realised P&L
- $362.19
- Volume
- $98.7k
- Markets traded
- 820
- Open portfolio
- $876.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded820
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$900.32at 0.011Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$261.92at 0.382Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$190.90at 0.170Will $MELANIA FDV be $1-3b on Friday?
- +$175.17at 0.099Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
- +$171.31at 0.335Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 15:10 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.10 |
| 07-20 15:08 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2974999824 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.999 | $69.69 |
| 07-19 21:04 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.2161996466 | $12.24 |
| 07-19 20:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 19:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.22 | $53.26 |
| 07-19 19:18 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4299999971 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 19:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4130750694 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 08:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $106.20 |
| 07-19 08:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.409 | $45.95 |
| 07-14 19:19 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.2108274125 | $58.16 |
| 07-14 18:57 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.362499999 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 18:46 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $30.95 |
| 07-12 17:34 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.74 | $111.00 |