BeltzaCapital
0xc3a04434d764f74b11ddace550d2f3cd96fa2698
- Realised P&L
- $-265.66
- Volume
- $89.1k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $98.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.135 | $54.00 | −$22.00 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.150 | $30.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.146 | $14.65 | +$6.68 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$156.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.80 |
| La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo · Kidd Keo | 0.261 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| La Velada del Año 6: Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco · Alondrissa | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.00at 0.730Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?
- +$107.99at 0.550Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?
- +$101.25at 0.583Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
- +$92.67at 0.850Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$81.56at 0.863Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 07:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $100.80 |
| 07-26 00:31 | La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg | BUY | 0.27 | $1.85 |
| 07-25 23:21 | La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 22:47 | La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo | BUY | 0.2612902692 | $3.00 |
| 07-25 22:41 | La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:33 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.3575 | $29.48 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2424999932 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 18:22 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.41 | $30.00 |
| 07-17 23:10 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999959 | $30.00 |
| 07-17 23:09 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3399999946 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 14:48 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.079741 | $7.97 |
| 07-14 21:05 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4625 | $23.13 |
| 07-11 18:22 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $45.10 |
| 07-10 22:51 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.355 | $10.65 |
| 07-10 09:55 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2649999809 | $10.00 |