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Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc38b913E7b2C18C45D9e02FB5b74229ADf1ed8a0-1760541005111

0xc38b913e7b2c18c45d9e02fb5b74229adf1ed8a0

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$60.0k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$590.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · No0.7201.000$200.00+$56.00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2580.055$179.98$663.30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yes0.7101.000$140.84+$40.85
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1860.055$66.23$157.52
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? · Yes0.1500.039$3.90$11.10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$30.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$12.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00$35.50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$87.00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3660.000$0.00$36.59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$195.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-19 14:14US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?BUY0.87$87.00
04-18 22:04Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.01$0.86
04-18 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.06$1.56
04-18 22:01Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.26$6.97
04-18 17:06Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3658888889$16.47
04-18 15:33Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.23$2.04
04-18 11:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?BUY0.02$5.00
04-18 09:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.72$144.00
04-18 06:02Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.19$133.00
04-17 17:25US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.76$152.00
04-15 13:22US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.52$104.00
04-14 18:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?BUY0.82$164.00
04-12 17:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.09$41.40
04-12 13:44US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
04-12 09:09US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1548541951$50.00
Trader 0xc38b913E7b2C18C45D9e02FB5b74229ADf1ed8a0-1760541005111 · PolyBot